MODE SHARE MODELLING OF TRIP MAKING IN HIGH DENSITY RESIDENTIAL AREA OF KANO CITY-NIGERIA

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to find the mode share between public transport and private car by investigating factors that affect mode choice and developing utility models for various modes in the study area Kurna Asabe, Kano city. The methodology involved administering 500 questionnaires to collect data with particular interest to socio-economic characteristics and level of service in the study area, out of which 461 questionnaires were fully completed and returned for analysis. Data was analyzed using Statistical and Logical inferences. Multinomial Logit model was developed to determine the main indicators of travel for the study area. The result of regression analysis shows that there is a strong relationship between the dependent and the independent variables. From the Statistical analysis conducted, various p-values obtained were lower than the significance level of 0.05 and t-values greater than the critical t-value of 1.96 at 95% confidence level. From the Utility model developed, the mode share was found to be 3,828 (16.4%) for personal car, 3,519 (15.0%) for Bus, 3,131 (13.4%) for Taxi, 3,428 (14.6%) for Tricycle. This indicate that 9,886 (42.3%) trip makers have preference for private transport mode while, 10,078 (43.0%) for public transport in the study area. The car mode shares of 42.3% is considerable therefore, to persuade travelers by car to switch to public transport mode there is need for efficient and reliable public transport system. Mode share of Tricycle could also be transferred to the other public transport modes especially the Bus mode if the users are encouraged by making provision of public transport modes. The study recommends that; Private car usage should be discouraged by the policy makers through provision of effective and reliable public transport system in order for users to shift to public transport or non-motorized modes of travel.

Keywords: Mode Share, Public Transport, Car, Tricycle.